Google has admitted that its Android Earthquake Alerts system failed to provide timely and accurate warnings during Turkey’s catastrophic 2023 earthquakes, sparking debate over the reliability of private tech in public safety roles.
During the first of two major earthquakes that struck southeastern Turkey, the system issued just 469 high-level “Take Action” alerts, despite millions being within range. These alerts are designed to provide loud, screen-covering notifications, even overriding silent modes, in the event of severe shaking.
Instead, most users received the less urgent “Be Aware” notifications, which do not make noise or override phone settings—unsuitable for a 7.8-magnitude quake that hit during the early hours of the morning.
More than 55,000 people lost their lives, and over 100,000 were injured. Despite Google’s initial claim that the system “performed well,” later analysis found its algorithm had misjudged the quake’s intensity, estimating a much lower magnitude.
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In an academic article published later, Google researchers pointed to shortcomings in the detection algorithm and have since modified the system. Testing the revised version on the same event produced 10 million high-level alerts and tens of millions more at lower levels.
Experts argue the incident highlights a broader issue: the growing dependence on private companies for critical warning infrastructure. Elizabeth Reddy, a professor in Colorado, expressed disappointment that the flaws took two years to come to light, especially given the scale of the tragedy.
The Android Earthquake Alerts system is active in 98 countries and is marketed as a supplementary safety tool, not a replacement for national systems. However, experts like Harold Tobin from the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network caution that governments may become overly reliant on such platforms without fully understanding their limitations.